Santana vs Oratorio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 2
SEC
34%
23%
43%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2010 |
SPM
0 - 2
SEC
44%
23%
33%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 2
SEC
39%
23%
38%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2010 |
SEC
1 - 3
TDC
31%
23%
46%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
SPM
3 - 1
SEC
35%
24%
42%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -3 |
Matches
Oratorio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2010 |
ORC
0 - 1
SPM
37%
24%
39%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
TDC
0 - 3
ORC
68%
19%
14%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2010 |
ORC
1 - 4
SPM
35%
24%
40%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2010 |
TDC
3 - 1
ORC
65%
20%
15%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
ORC
0 - 1
SAN
49%
23%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |