Santacruzense vs Nacional SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
40.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
SER
3 - 2
SAN
57%
23%
19%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SAO
2 - 3
SAN
63%
22%
16%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 2
INT
18%
25%
57%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 1
PRI
35%
27%
38%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
GRÊ
3 - 0
SAN
50%
25%
25%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
NAC
4 - 1
BAR
54%
24%
23%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SJS
1 - 1
NAC
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
TUP
1 - 1
NAC
49%
24%
28%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 0
RIO
30%
24%
46%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 1
COT
64%
20%
15%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |