CONCACAF League Etapas Finales. 1/16
Global 2-2
Santa Tecla vs Real Estelí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
39.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
JOC
2 - 1
SAN
17%
28%
55%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
EST
2 - 1
SAN
43%
25%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
SAN
3 - 0
CHA
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2019 |
SAN
3 - 1
VEN
84%
12%
4%
|
68 | 12 | 56 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
MET
2 - 1
SAN
24%
23%
53%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
EST
2 - 1
SAN
43%
25%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
EST
1 - 1
REA
63%
21%
15%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2019 |
EST
1 - 2
SAN
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
EST
0 - 0
MAN
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
MAN
3 - 3
EST
43%
25%
32%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -2 |