Santa Tecla vs CD Dragon analysis


57	ELO	62
0.2%	Tilt	1.9%
ELO win probability

37%

Santa Tecla

27.8%

Draw

35.1%

CD Dragon

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

37.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%

27.8%

Draw

0-0

9.3%

1-1

13.1%

2-2

4.6%

3-3

0.7%

4-4

0.1%

0

27.8%

35.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

12º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

11

8º

12º

30

2º

11º

7º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

7º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	44	44	1º	100%
2º	42	42	2º	100%
3º	37	37	3º	100%
4º	34	34	4º	100%
5º	32	32	5º	100%
6º	32	32	6º	100%
7º	30	30	7º	100%
8º	29	29	8º	100%
9º	28	28	9º	100%
10º	27	27	10º	100%
11º	12	12	11º	100%
12º	11	11	12º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Final Series	0%	100%
Mid-table	100%	0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Santa Tecla

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
10 Sep. 2023	FUE 2 - 1 SAN 9% 17% 74%	57	13	44	0
06 Sep. 2023	FIR 3 - 0 SAN 45% 28% 27%	58	62	4	-1
03 Sep. 2023	SAN 0 - 2 FAS 29% 27% 44%	59	66	7	-1
27 Aug. 2023	ALI 2 - 2 SAN 65% 21% 14%	58	68	10	+1
20 Aug. 2023	MET 2 - 0 SAN 51% 26% 24%	59	63	4	-1

Matches

CD Dragon

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
13 Sep. 2023	FIR 2 - 3 CDD 45% 29% 26%	61	63	2	0
03 Sep. 2023	CDD 0 - 3 ALI 27% 27% 46%	61	68	7	0
27 Aug. 2023	JOC 1 - 0 CDD 46% 26% 28%	62	59	3	-1
23 Aug. 2023	CDD 0 - 0 MET 36% 28% 37%	62	64	2	0
20 Aug. 2023	AGU 5 - 1 CDD 55% 26% 19%	63	69	6	-1