Santa Tecla vs Atlético Marte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
FAS
0 - 5
SAN
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
SAN
6 - 1
CHA
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 1
AGU
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
PAS
2 - 2
SAN
44%
27%
30%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2015 |
ALI
0 - 0
SAN
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Marte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 1
AGU
32%
28%
40%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
PAS
0 - 0
ATL
61%
23%
17%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 0
MET
24%
26%
50%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 1
ALI
26%
25%
49%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
MET
3 - 1
ATL
72%
18%
10%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |