Santa Tecla vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
JUV
1 - 0
SAN
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
PAS
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
CDD
49%
26%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 2
MET
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 1
SAN
52%
24%
23%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ALI
3 - 1
UES
51%
26%
24%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ALI
0 - 1
MET
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
CDD
0 - 0
ALI
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
JUV
2 - 1
ALI
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ALI
3 - 0
PAS
49%
27%
25%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |