Santa Tecla vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
31.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
AGU
3 - 1
SAN
36%
28%
37%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
MET
29%
27%
45%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
UES
2 - 3
SAN
34%
25%
40%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
ATL
37%
28%
35%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
CDD
1 - 1
SAN
44%
28%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
ALI
0 - 0
UES
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ALI
2 - 1
ATL
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
CDD
4 - 0
ALI
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
ALI
0 - 0
JUV
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
FAS
2 - 0
ALI
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |