Santa Mónica vs Serralta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.6%
15.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Mónica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
ALQ
0 - 2
SAM
48%
21%
31%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
SAM
2 - 1
EST
62%
19%
19%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
CDB
2 - 2
SAM
18%
19%
63%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
SAM
2 - 1
PLS
76%
13%
11%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
SAM
3 - 2
SLL
86%
9%
5%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Serralta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
SER
5 - 0
SLL
82%
12%
7%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
VIL
3 - 1
SER
58%
20%
23%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
SER
4 - 0
PAL
84%
10%
6%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
POB
1 - 1
SER
15%
17%
68%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
SER
1 - 1
VAT
85%
10%
5%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | -1 |