Santa Mónica vs Atletico Rafal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
21.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Mónica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 0
CDS
48%
23%
29%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 1
SER
59%
20%
21%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2023 |
UDA
2 - 2
SAM
31%
23%
46%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
SAM
53%
22%
24%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SAM
4 - 1
PON
84%
11%
6%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Atletico Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
ALG
1 - 2
ATL
49%
23%
28%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ATL
5 - 0
SVE
36%
23%
41%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 1
ATL
32%
24%
45%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 1
XIL
77%
14%
9%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
STA
4 - 1
ATL
30%
25%
45%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |