Santa Lucía vs Marsaxlokk FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
42.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Lucía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MOS
1 - 1
SLU
61%
21%
18%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SLU
2 - 0
VAL
25%
26%
49%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SLI
3 - 1
SLU
57%
25%
19%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SLU
1 - 1
SIR
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
GUD
0 - 4
SLU
36%
25%
39%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Marsaxlokk FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
GZI
40%
26%
33%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 2
FLO
41%
24%
35%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
HAM
1 - 2
MAR
49%
27%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 0
BIR
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 2
MOS
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |