Santa Fe vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
22.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
CUC
5 - 1
SFE
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
AME
1 - 1
SFE
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2009 |
SFE
4 - 0
CUC
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
SFE
3 - 0
EQU
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2009 |
PER
0 - 0
SFE
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2009 |
MIL
0 - 1
BUC
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
MIL
1 - 2
PAS
53%
26%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2009 |
BUC
3 - 1
MIL
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
ONC
0 - 0
MIL
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
MIL
1 - 1
NAC
42%
28%
31%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |