Recopa Sudamerica . Final
Global 1-2
Santa Fe vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
35.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
HUI
1 - 0
SFE
31%
28%
41%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
KAA
0 - 1
SFE
10%
20%
70%
|
80 | 41 | 39 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
QUI
2 - 1
SFE
44%
27%
30%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2016 |
COR
0 - 1
SFE
32%
28%
41%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
SFE
2 - 1
QUI
50%
27%
23%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
RIV
1 - 1
TIG
58%
24%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2016 |
RIV
2 - 1
CSE
72%
18%
10%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
RIV
3 - 0
SRI
86%
11%
3%
|
82 | 26 | 56 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
RIV
1 - 3
SEV
24%
25%
52%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
RIV
3 - 0
MOT
61%
23%
16%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |