Santa Cruz RS vs Lajeadense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
30.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
SAN
29%
23%
48%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 2
ISM
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 1
SAN
25%
24%
51%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
SGA
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
GEB
1 - 4
SAN
20%
23%
57%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Lajeadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
LAJ
1 - 0
PEL
38%
27%
35%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
ISM
1 - 0
LAJ
30%
26%
43%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
LAJ
2 - 0
GUA
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
LAJ
0 - 0
GUA
61%
23%
16%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SGA
1 - 1
LAJ
25%
26%
49%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |