Santa Cruz vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
10.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
NAU
2 - 1
SAN
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
CIA
1 - 0
SAN
35%
28%
37%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 1
BOT
53%
24%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
SAN
4 - 1
VCR
84%
12%
4%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
ALT
2 - 0
SAN
21%
24%
55%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
SAL
1 - 0
RFC
37%
24%
39%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
VCR
2 - 0
SAL
20%
25%
55%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CEA
3 - 0
SAL
85%
12%
3%
|
48 | 79 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
SAL
2 - 3
NAU
19%
24%
57%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
SAL
1 - 1
CRB
12%
20%
69%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | +1 |