Santa Cruz vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
10.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
SPO
3 - 0
SAN
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 1
SAN
26%
26%
48%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
SAL
1 - 1
SAN
21%
25%
54%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
NAU
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 0
GUA
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
NAU
0 - 2
SAL
74%
17%
9%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
SAL
1 - 1
SAN
21%
25%
54%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
SAL
0 - 0
CEN
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
SPO
4 - 0
SAL
79%
15%
7%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SAL
2 - 1
POR
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |