Santa Cruz vs Jacuipense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
27.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
CSE
0 - 0
SAN
32%
28%
40%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 0
SER
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
SER
1 - 1
SAN
36%
28%
36%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 1
CSE
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
JAC
2 - 0
SAN
42%
29%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Jacuipense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
JAC
0 - 0
ASA
58%
24%
18%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
LAG
2 - 1
JAC
26%
27%
47%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
JAC
2 - 2
LAG
56%
26%
18%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
ASA
1 - 1
JAC
23%
25%
52%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
JAC
2 - 0
SAN
42%
29%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +2 |