Santa Cruz vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
46.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
SPO
0 - 1
SAN
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 2
SPO
53%
24%
24%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
NAU
3 - 3
SAN
50%
23%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
SAN
3 - 2
CEN
60%
21%
19%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 1
SPO
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
FFL
3 - 0
JEC
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
JEC
2 - 1
FFL
23%
23%
54%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
HER
0 - 2
FFL
16%
22%
62%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
FFL
3 - 1
HER
79%
14%
7%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
FFL
4 - 1
AVA
72%
18%
11%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |