Santa Cruz vs Central SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.2%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
9.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
ADJ
0 - 4
SAN
16%
21%
63%
|
57 | 31 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 0
SPO
9%
22%
69%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 0
RFC
23%
24%
53%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
NAU
2 - 1
SAN
75%
16%
8%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
SAN
2 - 0
AFO
65%
20%
15%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2025 |
CEN
1 - 2
SED
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
PET
0 - 0
CEN
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
AFO
1 - 1
CEN
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CEN
0 - 1
SPO
6%
20%
75%
|
44 | 88 | 44 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CEN
2 - 1
NAU
5%
13%
82%
|
42 | 70 | 28 | +2 |