Santa Cruz vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
30.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
LON
1 - 1
SAN
49%
26%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 0
GOI
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
ABC
0 - 0
SAN
27%
27%
47%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 2
CRB
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 0
SAN
32%
28%
40%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
CEA
2 - 1
BRA
54%
26%
20%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
CEA
1 - 1
AMF
38%
30%
33%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
LON
3 - 2
CEA
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
CEA
1 - 0
NAU
54%
26%
21%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
BOA
4 - 1
CEA
30%
28%
42%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |