Santa Cruz vs Brusque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
17.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 1
SAN
31%
31%
38%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 1
ITU
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
ITU
1 - 2
SAN
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 2
VIL
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -2 |
| 14 Dec. 2020 |
BRU
0 - 0
SAN
35%
29%
37%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
BRU
4 - 2
ITU
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 3
BRU
45%
29%
26%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
BRU
0 - 0
VIL
43%
28%
29%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
ITU
1 - 1
BRU
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2020 |
BRU
0 - 0
SAN
35%
29%
37%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |