Santa Croya vs Sporting Zamora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.9%
17.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+115%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Croya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
CAM
1 - 1
SAN
66%
17%
17%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 1
VIL
62%
18%
20%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
SAC
3 - 2
SAN
37%
21%
42%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 2
FRE
21%
20%
59%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
ATL
0 - 2
SAN
50%
20%
29%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Zamora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 3
CAM
28%
21%
52%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 1
SPO
41%
23%
36%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
SPO
2 - 0
SAC
45%
21%
34%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
FRE
1 - 3
SPO
80%
13%
7%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 1
ATL
49%
21%
30%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |