Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs FC Seoul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
28.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
6º
3º
17
3º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
28 | 54 |
1º
|
28.5% | |
|
1º
|
29 | 54 |
2º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
27 | 53 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 50 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 48 |
5º
|
6.5% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 45 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
17 | 42 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 42 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 39 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 39 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 37 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 37 |
12º
|
25% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
86% | 29% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
14% | 71% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
JEO
0 - 0
SAN
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 0
JEJ
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ULS
2 - 2
SAN
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 2
INC
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
DCI
0 - 0
SAN
44%
25%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FC Seoul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
POH
2 - 2
FCS
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 2
DAE
43%
26%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
INC
1 - 2
FCS
38%
28%
34%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FCS
0 - 1
ULS
44%
26%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
SUW
0 - 2
FCS
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |