Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Vegalta Sendai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
13.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
FCY
1 - 2
SAN
41%
28%
30%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
SHI
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
MAT
2 - 4
SAN
27%
26%
47%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
FCT
1 - 2
SAN
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
NAG
2 - 0
SAN
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Vegalta Sendai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
VEG
1 - 2
KAA
27%
26%
48%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
MAT
1 - 0
VEG
42%
28%
30%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
SHI
2 - 1
VEG
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
VEG
2 - 3
KAW
30%
26%
44%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
FCY
1 - 1
VEG
58%
26%
17%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |