Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Ehime analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.3%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NAG
1 - 2
SAN
40%
27%
32%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 0
CER
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
TOK
0 - 1
SAN
33%
27%
41%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 5
STU
14%
19%
67%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
SAG
1 - 4
SAN
39%
27%
35%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ehime
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
EHI
3 - 2
OIT
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
IWA
2 - 1
EHI
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
EHI
0 - 1
TOK
52%
25%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
FUJ
0 - 1
EHI
33%
26%
41%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
AVI
0 - 2
EHI
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | +2 |