Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Avispa Fukuoka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
VEN
2 - 0
SAN
30%
26%
44%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
VEG
1 - 1
SAN
35%
27%
38%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAG
64%
22%
15%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
YOK
1 - 2
SAN
22%
26%
52%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2008 |
CER
1 - 2
SAN
40%
26%
35%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Avispa Fukuoka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
AVI
2 - 2
ROA
62%
21%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
AVI
2 - 2
SHO
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2008 |
MIT
2 - 3
AVI
27%
27%
46%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
AVI
3 - 2
YOK
53%
25%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2008 |
AVI
2 - 1
TOK
72%
18%
9%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |