Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Auckland City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
70.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
GAM
53%
22%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
GAM
2 - 3
SAN
52%
23%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
SAN
5 - 0
SHO
67%
20%
14%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
GAM
0 - 2
SAN
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
VEN
0 - 2
SAN
19%
24%
56%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
AUC
4 - 1
CAN
66%
19%
15%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
WEL
1 - 3
AUC
28%
26%
46%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
AUC
1 - 1
HAW
67%
18%
15%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
WAI
0 - 4
AUC
31%
25%
45%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
AUC
1 - 1
TEA
60%
19%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |