Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Ococias Kyoto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.5%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.2%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
16.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
19%
2-0
19.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.5%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
22.2%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.8%
2.8%
Win probability
0.27
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2021 |
FCT
0 - 0
SAN
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 2
URA
40%
27%
33%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
CER
1 - 2
SAN
53%
26%
21%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
VEG
3 - 0
SAN
26%
25%
49%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 1
TOK
55%
25%
20%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ococias Kyoto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2021 |
AWJ
3 - 3
ASC
80%
13%
8%
|
8 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
ASC
0 - 1
NAR
12%
17%
72%
|
8 | 45 | 37 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
KAT
1 - 0
ASC
81%
14%
5%
|
8 | 49 | 41 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
KAT
1 - 0
ASC
77%
17%
6%
|
8 | 56 | 48 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
NAR
2 - 1
ASC
83%
12%
5%
|
8 | 53 | 45 | 0 |