S. Vicente y las Granadinas vs Saint Lucia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
S. Vicente y las Granadinas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SUR
1 - 0
VCT
37%
24%
39%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
VCT
1 - 1
CUB
13%
21%
66%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2012 |
TTO
1 - 1
VCT
85%
11%
5%
|
48 | 76 | 28 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
VCT
4 - 0
CUW
68%
19%
13%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
LCA
1 - 0
VCT
15%
19%
66%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Saint Lucia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
LCA
0 - 3
GUY
15%
21%
65%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
LCA
1 - 0
VCT
15%
19%
66%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2012 |
LCA
5 - 1
CUW
30%
24%
47%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
PRI
3 - 0
LCA
70%
18%
13%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
LCA
0 - 4
PRI
30%
23%
47%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -2 |