S. Vicente y las Granadinas vs Guatemala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
63.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Vicent and the Grenadines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
VCT
2 - 1
GRD
41%
25%
34%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
VCT
1 - 0
DMA
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
GTM
4 - 0
VCT
72%
18%
10%
|
50 | 77 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
ATG
2 - 2
VCT
54%
23%
24%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
ATG
1 - 0
VCT
52%
23%
25%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
BLZ
1 - 2
GTM
13%
20%
67%
|
77 | 49 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
GTM
4 - 0
VCT
72%
18%
10%
|
77 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
MEX
2 - 1
GTM
88%
9%
3%
|
78 | 93 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2011 |
GTM
4 - 0
GRD
81%
14%
6%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
JAM
2 - 0
GTM
55%
24%
22%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |