San Telmo vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
42.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Telmo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
LAF
1 - 3
STM
44%
27%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2006 |
STM
0 - 3
MOR
31%
29%
39%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
TAL
2 - 1
STM
50%
26%
24%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
SUA
0 - 0
STM
63%
22%
16%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
STM
0 - 0
FLA
42%
30%
29%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2006 |
DEF
1 - 1
SAR
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2006 |
CAM
0 - 0
DEF
26%
27%
47%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
DEF
1 - 0
PLA
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2006 |
DEF
3 - 0
BRO
65%
22%
14%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
EST
0 - 1
DEF
40%
27%
34%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |