San Telmo vs Brown Adrogue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.1%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
38.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Telmo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
DEF
0 - 0
STM
45%
28%
27%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
STM
1 - 0
SMA
18%
28%
54%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
SUA
0 - 2
STM
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
STM
0 - 0
AGR
21%
28%
51%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
INS
2 - 0
STM
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Brown Adrogue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
BRO
1 - 2
CFE
43%
29%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
SMA
3 - 2
BRO
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
BRO
1 - 2
ATL
49%
27%
25%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
EST
1 - 0
BRO
41%
28%
31%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
BRO
0 - 1
RSA
66%
22%
13%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |