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Serie D. Matchday 32

Luparense vs Virtus Verona analysis

Luparense Virtus Verona
23 ELO 22
-9% Tilt 67%
9118º General ELO ranking 4807º
322º Country ELO ranking 127º
ELO win probability
27.4%
Luparense
23.5%
Draw
49.1%
Virtus Verona

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
Luparense
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
49.1%
Win probability
Virtus Verona
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Luparense
-6%
+40%
Virtus Verona

Points and table prediction

Luparense
Their league position
Virtus Verona
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
20º
14º
69
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Delta Porto Tolle
º
75
75
0%
Tamai
º
46
46
12º
0%
Nk Kras Asd
º
29
29
19º
0%
Sanvitese
º
36
36
18º
0%
Giorgione
º
39
39
17º
0%
Montebelluna
º
43
43
16º
0%
Cerea
º
44
44
15º
0%
Luparense
º
46
46
14º
0%
AC Este
º
46
46
13º
0%
Legnago Salus
º
51
51
11º
0%
Pordenone
º
71
71
0%
Belluno
º
52
52
10º
0%
ACD Trissino
º
54
54
0%
Sacilese
º
56
56
0%
Sandonà
º
58
58
0%
Clodiense
º
65
65
0%
Real Vicenza VS
º
67
67
0%
Virtus Verona
º
69
69
0%
AC Sambonifacese
º
71
71
0%
Union Quinto
º
21
21
20º
0%
Expected probabilities
Luparense
Virtus Verona
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Virtus Verona
VIR
Luparense
SAN
Real Vicenza VS
REA
ACD Trissino
ACD
Clodiense
CLO
Nk Kras Asd
NKK
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Luparense
Luparense
1%
X%
2%
ELO SAN ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Mar. 2013
UNI
Union Quinto
0 - 1
Luparense
SAN
46%
27%
28%
291 243 -48 +1
17 Mar. 2013
BEL
Belluno
1 - 2
Luparense
SAN
46%
27%
28%
289 237 -52 +1
13 Mar. 2013
SAN
Luparense
0 - 2
Sanvitese
SAN
48%
27%
26%
292 203 89 -2
03 Mar. 2013
SAN
Luparense
0 - 1
Cerea
CER
47%
27%
26%
293 254 39 -2
24 Feb. 2013
GIO
Giorgione
1 - 2
Luparense
SAN
46%
27%
27%
292 264 -28 +1

Matches

Virtus Verona
Virtus Verona
1%
X%
2%
ELO VIR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Mar. 2013
VIR
Virtus Verona
1 - 0
Legnago Salus
LEG
46%
27%
27%
287 313 -26 +1
13 Mar. 2013
POR
Pordenone
1 - 1
Virtus Verona
VIR
44%
27%
29%
287 286 -1 0
09 Mar. 2013
VIR
Virtus Verona
1 - 0
Sacilese
SAC
41%
28%
31%
286 359 -73 +2
03 Mar. 2013
MON
Montebelluna
0 - 2
Virtus Verona
VIR
46%
27%
28%
283 246 -37 +2
24 Feb. 2013
VIR
Virtus Verona
1 - 2
Clodiense
CLO
46%
27%
27%
285 299 -14 -1