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Serie D. Girone C, Matchday 15

Luparense vs Montebelluna analysis

Luparense Montebelluna
22 ELO 17
-16% Tilt -5%
7695º General ELO ranking 10452º
294º Country ELO ranking 325º
ELO win probability
41.7%
Luparense
29.9%
Draw
28.3%
Montebelluna

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
Luparense
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
28.3%
Win probability
Montebelluna
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Luparense
-6%
-2%
Montebelluna

Points and table prediction

Luparense
Their league position
Montebelluna
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
11º
48
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Pordenone
85
85
100%
Marano
83
83
100%
Sacilese
66
66
100%
Belluno
59
59
100%
Luparense
50
50
100%
Union Ripa Fenadora
49
49
100%
AC Este
48
48
50%
Montebelluna
48
48
50%
ACD Trissino
43
43
100%
Triestina
10º
42
42
10º
100%
Giorgione
11º
39
39
12º
50%
Tamai
12º
39
39
11º
50%
Vittorio Falmec
13º
38
38
13º
100%
Fincantieri Monfalcone
14º
34
34
14º
100%
AC Mezzocorona
15º
33
33
15º
100%
Dro Calcio
16º
31
31
16º
100%
Sanvitese
17º
30
30
17º
100%
Fersina Perginese
18º
17
17
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Luparense
Montebelluna
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Montebelluna
MON
Luparense
SAN
Marano
SCM
Dro Calcio
DCA
Fincantieri Monfalcone
FMO
Sacilese
SAC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Luparense
Luparense
1%
X%
2%
ELO SAN ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Dec. 2013
SAN
Sanvitese
0 - 1
Luparense
SAN
41%
28%
31%
280 202 -78 +1
27 Nov. 2013
SAN
Luparense
1 - 1
Fincantieri Monfalcone
FMO
45%
27%
28%
280 285 -5 0
17 Nov. 2013
FER
Fersina Perginese
0 - 2
Luparense
SAN
46%
27%
27%
278 263 -15 +2
10 Nov. 2013
SAN
Luparense
1 - 4
AC Este
ACE
45%
27%
28%
281 285 -4 -3
03 Nov. 2013
TRI
Triestina
1 - 0
Luparense
SAN
51%
26%
23%
282 438 156 -1

Matches

Montebelluna
Montebelluna
1%
X%
2%
ELO MON ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Dec. 2013
MON
Montebelluna
0 - 0
Sacilese
SAC
41%
28%
31%
233 352 -119 0
24 Nov. 2013
DCA
Dro Calcio
1 - 1
Montebelluna
MON
47%
27%
26%
233 287 54 0
17 Nov. 2013
FMO
Fincantieri Monfalcone
2 - 1
Montebelluna
MON
47%
27%
26%
234 284 50 -1
10 Nov. 2013
MON
Montebelluna
2 - 1
ACD Trissino
ACD
46%
27%
28%
233 292 -59 +2
03 Nov. 2013
ACE
AC Este
0 - 1
Montebelluna
MON
47%
27%
26%
231 286 55 +2