SN Notaresco 2018 vs Castelfidardo Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SN Notaresco 2018
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAN
40%
25%
35%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
GIU
1 - 1
SAN
34%
25%
41%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2018 |
CES
3 - 2
SAN
82%
14%
5%
|
30 | 64 | 34 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
MON
69%
17%
14%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
FOR
0 - 0
SAN
53%
23%
25%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
MON
2 - 1
CAS
62%
20%
19%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 1
CES
8%
20%
72%
|
22 | 64 | 42 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
ASD
2 - 1
CAS
63%
19%
17%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 3
CAM
52%
23%
25%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
PIN
2 - 0
CAS
70%
18%
12%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |