San Mateo vs Aston Birra 30 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
35.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Mateo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
HIS
2 - 1
MAT
59%
18%
23%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
MAT
1 - 0
VED
35%
22%
44%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
MAT
0 - 5
EDE
44%
21%
35%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
MAT
2 - 3
VCD
25%
21%
55%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
ESP
4 - 0
MAT
65%
18%
18%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Birra 30
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
AST
1 - 4
VCD
20%
19%
61%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
ESP
4 - 1
AST
45%
20%
35%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
AST
1 - 1
VIL
16%
17%
67%
|
6 | 12 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
DEU
3 - 5
AST
49%
20%
31%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
AST
0 - 1
RIH
38%
21%
42%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |