San Martín Tucumán vs Deportivo Morón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Martín Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FLA
2 - 1
SMA
23%
29%
48%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
SMA
4 - 1
SMA
50%
28%
23%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
CAD
1 - 0
SMA
25%
29%
45%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 1
GBR
65%
23%
13%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
AGR
0 - 0
SMA
29%
31%
40%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 2
ALM
35%
30%
35%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
CAG
0 - 0
MOR
34%
31%
36%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 1
PAT
19%
28%
53%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
GIM
2 - 2
MOR
49%
28%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 1
ALV
46%
29%
25%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |