San Martín San Juan vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
14.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Martín San Juan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
BUC
2 - 1
SMA
37%
28%
35%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2010 |
SMA
2 - 2
BEL
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2010 |
PLA
1 - 1
SMA
34%
30%
37%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
FER
0 - 0
SMA
38%
29%
33%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2009 |
SMA
1 - 0
CAI
60%
24%
17%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
MER
0 - 1
RAF
25%
29%
46%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
QUI
2 - 0
MER
58%
25%
17%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
MER
2 - 0
ALD
31%
29%
40%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
GIM
2 - 1
MER
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
MER
1 - 1
BUC
37%
29%
35%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |