San Marino Calcio vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
12%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marino Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
PAV
0 - 1
SAN
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 0
COM
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
REG
2 - 0
SAN
48%
26%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 5
CAR
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 2
SAN
23%
25%
52%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
PRO
0 - 1
ABN
19%
24%
58%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
SAV
1 - 0
PRO
41%
26%
33%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
LEO
1 - 0
PRO
65%
22%
13%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
PRO
1 - 2
USC
21%
26%
53%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
SPE
4 - 2
PRO
76%
16%
9%
|
39 | 64 | 25 | 0 |