San Marino Calcio vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.3%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
1.3%
3-2
0.2%
+1
5.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
18.9%
74.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
19.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0%
-1
27.4%
0-2
18.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
23.5%
0-3
11.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marino Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
MEZ
0 - 0
SAN
19%
24%
58%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 2
AVI
62%
21%
18%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
UAR
1 - 2
SAN
27%
25%
47%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
4 - 1
FOR
77%
15%
8%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
VIN
1 - 3
SAN
13%
22%
65%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
PAR
3 - 1
LEG
82%
14%
4%
|
77 | 32 | 45 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
VIR
0 - 0
PAR
7%
17%
76%
|
78 | 35 | 43 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 0
ROM
79%
15%
5%
|
77 | 27 | 50 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
LEN
0 - 3
PAR
8%
20%
73%
|
77 | 37 | 40 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
PAR
0 - 0
FOR
79%
15%
6%
|
77 | 44 | 33 | 0 |