San Marcos Arica vs Santiago Morning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
30.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
FVC
1 - 2
SAN
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
SAN
4 - 2
IQU
29%
27%
44%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
COB
0 - 3
SAN
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 1
FVC
28%
28%
44%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 2
MAG
35%
29%
36%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Santiago Morning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 3
DCO
49%
26%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
DSC
1 - 1
SAN
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
MAG
0 - 1
SAN
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 0
UCO
35%
27%
38%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
DEP
0 - 2
SAN
46%
28%
26%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |