San Lorenzo vs Newell's Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1970 |
SLO
1 - 0
VEL
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1970 |
SLO
4 - 1
TAL
75%
15%
10%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1970 |
RAC
2 - 2
SLO
53%
24%
24%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1970 |
SLO
6 - 2
PLA
69%
18%
13%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1970 |
SLO
6 - 3
GLP
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1970 |
NOB
1 - 4
CEN
42%
28%
30%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1970 |
NOB
2 - 2
RAC
41%
29%
30%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1970 |
PLA
3 - 4
NOB
45%
27%
29%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1970 |
NOB
3 - 4
GLP
41%
27%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1970 |
NOB
2 - 0
SMA
58%
24%
19%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |