San Lorenzo vs Defensa y Justicia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
35.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
SLO
1 - 2
ALD
66%
21%
14%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2021 |
SLO
2 - 0
UCH
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
BAN
0 - 0
SLO
49%
27%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
UCH
1 - 1
SLO
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
SLO
1 - 1
HUR
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
SAR
3 - 1
DYJ
23%
26%
52%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
DYJ
4 - 0
NOB
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
GLP
1 - 1
DYJ
34%
28%
39%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
DYJ
1 - 0
EST
73%
17%
10%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
DYJ
1 - 0
PAT
74%
17%
9%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |