San Lorenzo vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
CEN
0 - 2
SLO
43%
26%
32%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2003 |
SLO
0 - 1
GLP
66%
21%
14%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
SLO
1 - 0
BAN
63%
22%
15%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
COL
1 - 1
SLO
39%
26%
35%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
SLO
2 - 0
OLI
75%
16%
9%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
VEL
1 - 1
COL
51%
25%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2003 |
OLI
1 - 0
VEL
29%
28%
43%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
VEL
1 - 1
ARS
64%
22%
15%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
QUI
0 - 1
VEL
30%
28%
42%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
VEL
1 - 1
RIV
32%
25%
44%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |