San Lorenzo vs Rosario Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
25.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
VEL
2 - 0
SLO
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2005 |
SLO
0 - 0
COB
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
SLO
2 - 4
IND
65%
22%
14%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
GLP
3 - 1
SLO
32%
27%
41%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2005 |
ONC
0 - 0
SLO
45%
27%
29%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
CEN
3 - 3
LAN
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
ALM
1 - 4
CEN
24%
26%
50%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
CEN
1 - 0
QUI
58%
25%
18%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
NOB
0 - 0
CEN
46%
26%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
CEN
2 - 1
ARS
52%
26%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |