San Lorenzo vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
31.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
RAC
2 - 1
SLO
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
SLO
0 - 1
ALD
71%
19%
10%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2017 |
SLO
2 - 1
FLA
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
HUR
0 - 1
SLO
31%
27%
41%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
SLO
2 - 1
CEN
45%
26%
30%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2017 |
ATT
0 - 3
RIV
25%
25%
50%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
RIV
0 - 0
CEN
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2017 |
RIV
1 - 2
IND
61%
21%
18%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2017 |
GLP
0 - 3
RIV
32%
26%
42%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2017 |
MEL
2 - 3
RIV
25%
26%
49%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | -1 |