San Jerónimo Nejapa vs Independiente FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.2%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
78.8%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.8%
0-3
12%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
16.7%
0-4
7.3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.6%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points