San Ignacio de Loyola vs Centella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
21.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Ignacio de Loyola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SJZ
2 - 3
SIL
27%
22%
51%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SIL
1 - 0
ALU
35%
23%
42%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
SIL
3 - 0
ADL
66%
18%
16%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CAN
1 - 1
SIL
45%
22%
33%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ATZ
2 - 3
SIL
34%
22%
44%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Centella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CEN
1 - 1
ORC
69%
16%
15%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ACS
2 - 0
CEN
65%
18%
17%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CEN
4 - 1
SPL
62%
18%
20%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
ADL
0 - 0
CEN
25%
21%
55%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CEN
2 - 1
PIQ
33%
22%
45%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |