San Cayetano vs Atlético de Paguera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
36.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+191%
+464%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Cayetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
SAR
6 - 2
SCA
69%
16%
15%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SCA
1 - 4
ASE
21%
20%
59%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
PED
4 - 3
SCA
30%
20%
50%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SCA
2 - 1
URB
24%
21%
55%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
SCA
3 - 1
SFF
37%
22%
41%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Atlético de Paguera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
BEP
0 - 2
ATL
49%
20%
31%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 4
ALD
20%
19%
61%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
PLA
3 - 2
ATL
45%
21%
35%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CAR
5 - 0
ATL
84%
10%
6%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ATL
0 - 5
TES
21%
20%
59%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | -1 |