Unión Coclé vs Mario Méndez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
59.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
4º
11º
8º
35
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
35 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 31 |
5º
|
69.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 16 |
9º
|
48.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
48.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 13 |
11º
|
68% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Coclé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
VCD
2 - 0
SAP
68%
19%
13%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SAP
2 - 1
HFC
50%
22%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
SAP
3 - 2
SFF
32%
22%
46%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
UDP
3 - 1
SAP
74%
17%
9%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SAP
0 - 2
IDC
15%
21%
64%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Mario Méndez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
AFM
2 - 1
CDU
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ACH
0 - 2
AFM
12%
21%
67%
|
51 | 24 | 27 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
IDC
0 - 1
AFM
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
AFM
0 - 3
NAC
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
OES
3 - 4
AFM
33%
28%
39%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |