Serie A Round 22

Sampdoria vs Parma analysis

Sampdoria Parma
79 ELO 87
-1.5% Tilt -12.6%
380º General ELO ranking 86º
30º Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
28.5%
Sampdoria
26.1%
Draw
45.4%
Parma

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.6%
Win probability
Sampdoria
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
45.4%
Win probability
Parma
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sampdoria
+4%
+5%
Parma

ELO progression

Sampdoria
Parma
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sampdoria
Sampdoria
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Feb. 2004
BRE
Brescia
1 - 1
Sampdoria
SAM
59%
23%
18%
79 82 3 0
08 Feb. 2004
SAM
Sampdoria
2 - 2
Inter
INT
22%
25%
53%
79 89 10 0
01 Feb. 2004
LAZ
Lazio
1 - 1
Sampdoria
SAM
75%
17%
9%
79 89 10 0
24 Jan. 2004
SAM
Sampdoria
2 - 0
Reggina
REG
46%
25%
28%
78 80 2 +1
18 Jan. 2004
ROM
Roma
3 - 1
Sampdoria
SAM
77%
15%
8%
79 90 11 -1

Matches

Parma
Parma
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Feb. 2004
SIE
Siena
1 - 2
Parma
PAR
21%
26%
53%
87 76 11 0
08 Feb. 2004
PAR
Parma
0 - 3
Lazio
LAZ
42%
27%
31%
87 89 2 0
01 Feb. 2004
PRG
Perugia
2 - 2
Parma
PAR
35%
26%
39%
88 84 4 -1
25 Jan. 2004
PAR
Parma
0 - 0
Bologna
BOL
63%
22%
15%
88 82 6 0
20 Jan. 2004
PAR
Parma
1 - 1
Lazio
LAZ
45%
26%
28%
88 89 1 0